A Monte{\hyphen{}}Carlo Simulation Based Assessment of the Vertical Soil Moisture Distribution and Infiltration Rate in the Vadose Zone of the Badain Jaran Desert,China
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摘要: 包气带土壤性质具有强烈的空间变异性,显著影响包气带水的分布特征和运移过程,在巴丹吉林沙漠这种包气带巨厚而观测困难的地区尤其值得重视. 通过收集包气带不同深度水分观测资料和水力参数测试成果,采用前人提出的水分特征曲线参数的对数正态分布模型和互相关模型,对巴丹吉林沙漠风积砂的变异特征进行了Monte-Carlo模拟,发现稳定下渗带能够自由流动的水分体积含量低于5\%. 在此基础上重建土水势的垂向分布,发现稳定下渗带的水力梯度接近于1,基本满足重力作用控制的自由下渗条件. 以残余含水率为独立随机变量,基于Richards方程对不同下渗强度条件的包气带含水率分布进行了Monte-Carlo模拟,通过与观测统计特征对比得到下渗强度的合理取值范围. 结果表明,包气带水下渗强度最有可能取值范围是3041 mm/a,且低于10 mm/a和高于50 mm/a的可能性都很小. 包气带水的随机模拟方法为研究巴丹吉林沙漠地下水补给提供了新的视角.Abstract: The strong spatial variability of the soil characteristics in the unsaturated zone has a significant impact on the distribution and transport process of the soil water. It should be particularly concerned in the Badain Jaran Desert, China, where the vadose zone has a huge thickness and is difficult to observe. Based on the collected data from soil water observations at different depths and measurements of the hydraulic parameters, the variability characteristics of the aeolian sands in the Badain Jaran Desert is analyzed with Monte-Carlo simulation by using the logarithmic normal distribution model and the cross-correlated model of the soil water retention characteristics. As indicated in the results, the volumetric content of movable water is less than 5\% in the downward infiltration zone. Accordingly, the vertical distribution of the soil water potential is reconstructed and the results indicate that the hydraulic gradient is approximately 1.0 in the downward infiltration zone, which basically satisfy the free infiltration condition under the force of gravity. Taking the residual water content as an independent random variable and using the Richards equation, the distributions of volumetric water content with respect to different infiltration rates are assessed with Monte-Carlo simulation. The reasonable variation range of the infiltration rate is determined from the comparison of statistical properties between simulated and observed data. Results show that the most possible range of the infiltration rate is 30-41 mm/a. The possibilities of infiltration rate values are very small for that are less than 10 mm/a or higher than 50 mm/a. Stochastic simulation of the vadose zone water provides a new perspective for the study of groundwater recharge in the Badain Jaran~Desert.
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