对流层大气温度"蝴蝶形"震前异常

郝国成; 董浩斌; 曾佐勋; 赵娟; KashikinV.B.

doi:10.3799/dqkx.2014.165

Volume 39 Issue 12

Dec. 2014

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Article Navigation > Earth Science > 2014 > 39(12): 1818-1830

Hao Guocheng, Dong Haobin, Zeng Zuoxun, Zhao Juan, Kashikin V.B., 2014. Anomalies of Tropospheric Air Temperature as 'Butterfly Pattern' before Earthquake. Earth Science, 39(12): 1818-1830. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2014.165

Citation:

Hao Guocheng, Dong Haobin, Zeng Zuoxun, Zhao Juan, Kashikin V.B., 2014. Anomalies of Tropospheric Air Temperature as "Butterfly Pattern" before Earthquake. Earth Science, 39(12): 1818-1830. doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2014.165

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Anomalies of Tropospheric Air Temperature as "Butterfly Pattern" before Earthquake

doi: 10.3799/dqkx.2014.165

Hao Guocheng^{1, 2, 3
,},
Dong Haobin^{2
,
,},
Zeng Zuoxun^{3, 4},
Zhao Juan^{2, 3},
Kashikin V.B.⁵

1.
Institute of Geophysics & Geomatics, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
2.
Faculty of Mechanical & Electronic Information, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
3.
Three Gorges Research Center for Geo-hazard, Ministry of Education, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
4.
School of Earth Sciences, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
5.
Siberian Federal University, Krasnoyarsk 660041, Russia

Received Date: 2014-09-12
Publish Date: 2014-12-01

Abstract

Abstract

Air temperature variation over the epicenter before terrestrial and marine earthquakes is analyzed and its possibility being applied in short-term and impending earthquake prediction is examined. The data obtained from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in different height scales with hPa unit are analyzed. Earthquake samples include the earthquakes in Yutian (M_s7.3, February 12th, 2014), Wenchuan (M_s 8.0, May 12th, 2008), Japan (M_s9.0, March 11th, 2011), Chile marine earthquake (M_s 8.0, April 1st, 2014), (Nantou M_s 6.1, March 27th, 2013), and Yingjiang (M_s 6.1, May 30th, 2014). The results show: (1) atmospheric temperature has more consistent trends at 300-1 000 hPa in the epicenter before earthquake; (2) the line charts of 200 hPa and 400 hPa temperature exhibit a graph with approaching and intersection (we can choose other height data such as 350 hPa, 300 hPa, etc. according to various locations) approaching earthquake occurring time. This special curve shape is similar to butterfly wings and be called as "butterfly pattern"; (3) the values of the air temperature difference between 200 hPa and 400 hPa are reduced in contour map near the epicenter area (a few months, weeks or several days before the earthquake). The lowest point of collapse in the contour map of air temperature difference corresponds to epicenter. The regularity is expected to be applied to predict on time and epicenter in short-term and impending earthquake.
- tropospheric,
- abnormity of air temperature,
- characteristics of "butterfly pattern",
- earthquake precursor,
- short-term and impending earthquake prediction,
- earthquake

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References(69)

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Anomalies of Tropospheric Air Temperature as "Butterfly Pattern" before Earthquake

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